Examining State-to-State Geographic Mobility

.. tools, resources and insights to examine U.S. by state migration 2011-2017 and migration flows in 2016 .. this post is an excerpt from the more detailed Web page http://proximityone.com/statemigration.htm.

In examining future demographic trends, the most challenging component of change to project (develop data values into the future) is migration. Migration, comprised net domestic and net international migration, is a function of many factors whose cause and effect behavior can change year by year, and geographic area by area. While this section is focused on states, the same scope of data is available to the county and sub-county levels. In this section, U.S. by state migration is examined using two data sources: annual population and components of change model-based estimates (2010-2017 model-based estimates) and annual American Community Survey estimates (ACS 2016 estimates). While these Census Bureau programs are highly related, the migration data/subject matter differ some.

State Net Domestic Migration, 2011-2017
The following graphic shows patterns net domestic migration for the period 2011-2017, based on the model-based estimates. The patterns of migration change, direction and magnitude are immediately evident. Click on the graphic to see a larger view showing more detail. Expand browser to full screen for best quality view. The larger view shows a portion of a mini-profile for Florida. The mini-profile illustrates how these data are comprised … annual net domestic migration estimates and the sum over the years 2011-2017. See the interactive table to view these data, and related components of change, in a tabular, numeric form. Use the GIS project (details here) to create similar views for any state; visual analysis of outmigration for any state showing outmigration by destination state. Label areas as desired. Add other layers. Add your own data.

View created with CV XE GIS. Click graphic for larger view with more detail.

State OutMigration by Destination State
The model-based estimates, reviewed above, do not provide detail on state-to-state migration. Those data are provided by the related ACS 2016 estimates. Note that the ACS 2016 1-year estimates are for the calendar year 2016. From these data we can get the following migration detail … In 2016, there were an estimated 605,018 people who moved from a residence 1 year earlier, in a different state, to Florida. Florida experienced the largest number of movers (inflows) from other states among all states. 60,472 of these movers were from New York. See the interactive table in this section to examine similar characteristics for any state. These data are based on the 2016 ACS 1 year estimates. See about related data.

The American Community Survey (ACS) asks respondents age 1 year and over whether they lived in the same residence 1 year ago. For people who lived in a different residence, the location of their previous residence is collected. The state-to-state migration flows are created from tabulations of the current state (including the District of Columbia) of residence crossed by state of residence 1 year ago.

Movers Within and Between States & Selected Areas During 2016
Use the interactive table to examine state outmigration by destination state. View, compare, query, rank and export data of interest.

Data Analytics Web Sessions
.. is my area urban, rural or …
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Join me in a Data Analytics Web Session, every Tuesday, where we review access to and use of data, tools and methods relating to GeoStatistical Data Analytics Learning. We review current topical issues and data — and how you can access/use tools/data to meet your needs/interests.

About the Author
Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Examining County Migration: 2010-2016

.. tools and data to examine U.S. by county migration 2010 to 2016 … is the population moving away or into your counties of interest? What are the trends; what is causing the change? What are the characteristics of the population moving in and out? How might this impact your living environment and business?

The total net international migration among all counties 7/1/2010 – 7/1/2016 was 5,641,260, an annual average of 940,432. The sum of net domestic migration among counties is zero by definition, but domestic migration among counties varies radically by size and direction. This section is focused on U.S. by county migration from 2010 to 2016. Migration is one component of change used to develop population estimates. See more about county population estimates and components of change in this related Web section.

Largest 10 Counties Based on 2016 Population
This table shows how domestic migration varies widely among the most populated counties. Use this interactive table to develop your own custom views for counties of interest.

Patterns of Population Change by County, 2010-2016
– the role and impact of migration
The following graphic shows how counties have gained population (blue and green) and lost population (orange and red) during the period 2010 to 2016. Click graphic for larger view; expand browser window for best quality view.

.. view developed with ProximityOne CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

Examining Population Components of Change
– net migration and natural change
Population change can be examined in terms of components of change. There are three components of change: births, deaths, and migration. The change in the population from births and deaths is often combined and referred to as natural increase or natural change. Populations grow or shrink depending on if they gain people faster than they lose them. Examining a county’s unique combination of natural change and migration provides insights into why its population is changing and how quickly the change is occurring.

Using the Interactive Table
– examining migration by county
Use the interactive table to examine characters of counties by states, metro or peer group. The following graphic illustrates use of the interactive table to view net migration for the Houston metro by county. The net migration button was used to select only the net migration columns, FindCBSA button used to show only counties in this metro and the final step was to sort the resulting table on 2016 population. Click graphic for larger view.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

State of the States: 2010-2015

.. examining the how, why and where of population change by state from 2010 to 2015. This section provides an overview of this topic and provides a summary of tools, interactive table and GIS project, to analyze population change by state by county, using latest Census Bureau estimates data through 2015. These data are used by ProximityOne to develop/update annual national state and county demographic-economic projections. See schedule of related 2016 updates. See more about development of these data/reports below.

Updates … see related State and Regional Decision-Making Information section … frequently updated state-by-state pages.

Patterns of Net Migration by State, 2010-2015
The following graphic shows patterns of state net migration during 2010 to 2015. 14 states experienced negative net migration. See in table below. States are labeled with net migration 2010-15 as a percent of 2015 population. Click graphic for larger view; expand browser window for best quality view.

.. view developed with ProximityOne CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

Examining Population Components of Change
Population change can be examined in terms of components of change. There are three components of change: births, deaths, and migration. The change in the population from births and deaths is often combined and referred to as natural increase or natural change. Populations grow or shrink depending on if they gain people faster than they lose them. Examining a region’s unique combination of natural change and migration provides insights into why its population is changing and how quickly the change is occurring.

State by County Profiles
Click a state link to view a state by county profile. For each state, eight tables of population change are presented. Each of the eight tables shows characteristics of each/all counties in the state in addition to state overall.

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas

Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina

North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

Use the Interactive Table
.. to examine patterns in states of interest. The following interactive table graphic shows the 14 states that experienced negative domestic migration during the period 2010-2015. See full full interactive table. Click link for larger view.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

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Posted in Geographic Information Systems, Maps, Migration, Patterns, Population, population components of change, State Trends, States, Trends

Tagged birth trends, Births, california population changes, Census Bureau, data analytics, death trends, Deaths, demographic estimates, Demographics, domestic migration, Geographic information system, geographic mobility, GIS, international migration, natural change, natural increase, net migration, population change, Population Projections, texas population change

Appalachia Region & County Population Trends

Posted on April 2, 2016 | Leave a comment

.. examining how is the Appalachia population changing and why .. Appalachia is a region that includes parts of 13 states and has long been challenged with poverty. The population of Appalachia increased from 25,184,339 in 2010 to 25,449,932 in 2015. The extended report below, developed using the ProximityOne Regional Data Analytics tool, in combination with GIS tools provide insights into why, how and where the population change has occurred since 2010.

Patterns of Appalachia County Population Trends 2010-2015
Appalachia counties are shown in the following graphic with the black bold boundary. The thematic pattern map shows how counties have gained population (blue and green) and lost population (orange and red) during the period 2010 to 2015. It is easy to see clusters of counties that are increasing or losing population and why. Counties increasing in population are shown by the dominant factor contributing to their growth — net migration or natural change (where births exceed deaths). Counties decreasing in population are shown by the dominant factor contributing to their population loss — net migration or natural change (where deaths exceed births). See more detail and access data via interactive table in the County Trends 2010-2015 section. Click graphic for larger view; expand browser window for best quality view.

.. view developed with ProximityOne CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

Summary of Population Change
Appalachia has increased in population since 2010 due to both net migration and natural increase. The analyses show that during the 2010 to 2015 period, the Appalachia population:
• increased by 1,688,832 births
• experienced 1,562,810 deaths
• had a natural increase (births less deaths) of 126,022 population
• increased by 166,990 net international migration
• increased by 53,209 net domestic migration
• had a net migration of 220,199 population

Region & County-by-County Population & Components of Change
The RDA report includes eight tables for each county and a summary for the Appalachia region. Tables displayed when using the “Population Estimates & Components” data include:
• Table 1 – total population
• Table 2 – births
• Table 3 – deaths
• Table 4 – natural change
• Table 5 – international migration
• Table 6 – domestic migration
• Table 7 – net migration
• Table 8 – group quarters population

Appalachia Counties & Region: Population Trends & Components of Change; 2010-2015
Click link below to view report. Data for all Appalachia counties, followed the regional summary, are provided table-by-table in the table sequence shown above.
• Appalachia region population & components of change 2010-15

Terms of Use
The above report may be used for any purpose provided that:
1 – it is not used for commercial or consulting purposes.
2 – it is not used in funded research.
3 – all use is referenced as to source with Web URL:
— developed by ProximityOne based in part on Census Bureau data; http://proximityone.com/rda.htm.

Using the RDA Resources
Use the RDA tool to develop reports like the one shown here for counties and regions of interest. Possibly more importantly, these resources can help us examine related topics such as healthcare and education. What are the characteristics and requirements now and how are needs, services and capabilities distributed across a region? How will the population change over the next several years and possibly result in improving – or deteriorating – conditions? Use the RDA demographic insights features and predictive analytics to better assess future change and needs.

Contact ProximityOne (mention RDA in text section or call 888.364.7656) for more information about using the RDA resources or custom reports.

Support Using these Resources
Learn more about accessing and using demographic-economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Data Analytics Lab session. There is no fee for these one-hour Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Leave a comment

Posted in Census 2010, Census Bureau, Counties, Geographic Information Systems, GIS, Maps, Outlook, Patterns, population components of change, Population Projections, Rural, State Trends, Trends

Tagged Appalachia, Appalachia County Demographic Population Trends 2010-2015, birth rates, Census 2010, components of change, data analytics, death rates, GIS, international migration, natural increase, net migration, Poverty

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