Metro Population & Components of Change Trends 2010-2016

.. tools and data to examine how the U.S. by metro population is changing. Is the population moving away or into metros of interest? What are the trends; what is causing the change? What are the characteristics of the population moving in and out? How might this impact your living environment and business?

This section provides information on how and why the population is changing by metro from 2010 to 2016 in terms of components of change: births, deaths and migration. It provides a summary of tools, interactive table and GIS project, to analyze population change by metro using latest Census Bureau estimates through 2016. These data are used by ProximityOne to develop/update annual demographic-economic projections.  See related Web page to access full interactive table and more detail.

Patterns of Population Change by Metro, 2010-2016
The following graphic shows how metros (MSAs – Metropolitan Statisticsl Areas) changed from 2010 to 2016 based on percent population change. Click graphic for larger view; expand browser window for best quality view.

.. view developed with ProximityOne CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

Narrative Analysis of Metro Demographic Change in Context
A narrative summary and analysis of metro demographic characteristics and change, contextually with other data and geography, is provided for each metro in the Situation & Outlook Reports. See more about the wide-ranging subject matter that are knitted together in the schedule of updates. Examine metro dynamics in context of the U.S. overall and related states and counties.

The nation’s 382 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) had a population of 277.1 million in 2016 (86% of the total population). MSAs increased by 2.3 million people from 2015. The nation’s 551 Micropolitan Statistical Areas (MISAs) had a population of 27.7 million in 2016 (9% of the total population). MISAs increased by 16,000 people from 2015. See more highlights below

MSAs and MISAs together, or metro areas, comprised the set of Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs). Each metro/CBSA is defined as a set of one or more contiguous counties.

Related Sections
• Metros Main
• Situation & Outlook Reports
• City/Place Population Trends
• County Population Trends
• County Population Projections to 2060
• ProximityOne Data Service

Examining Population Components of Change
Population change can be examined in terms of components of change. There are three components of change: births, deaths, and migration. The change in the population from births and deaths is often combined and referred to as natural increase or natural change. Populations grow or shrink depending on if they gain people faster than they lose them. Examining a county’s unique combination of natural change and migration provides insights into why its population is changing and how quickly the change is occurring.

See more about these topics below:
• Natural Increase/Change; birth & deaths
• Migration; net international, net domestic, net migration

Using the Interactive Table – Peer Group Analysis
Use the full interactive table to examine U.S. national scope metros by population and components of change. Consider an application where you want to study metros having a 2016 population between 250,000 and 300,000. Use the tools below the interactive table to select these metros as illustrated in the graphic shown below. The graphic shows these metros ranked on the overall U.S. metro rank (percent population change 2010-2016). As shown in the graphic, the Greeley, CO metro was ranked 11th among all metros and the fastest growing metro in this group. Use the tools/buttons below the table to create custom views.

Click graphic for larger view.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

New Monthly Residential Construction by Metro Updates

.. tools, data & methods to assess the housing situation, examine housing supply and demand market conditions, and how metros of interest are changing.  New July 2016 building permits (new housing units authorized) and over-the year monthly data are now available for each metropolitan statistical area (MSA).

Use the interactive table to view, query, rank, compare data by metro. Map and geospatially analyze construction patterns with the CV XE GIS software and ready-to-use GIS project/datasets – see details.

Updated Resources to Examine Residential Construction Patterns
• Metro Situation & Outlook Reports
.. metro by metro … examples: Houston, Los Angeles, Chicago, Atlanta.
• County Annual U.S. by county
• County & City/Place Monthly

Patterns of New Authorized Residential Units by Metropolitan Area
The following graphic shows value of single unit structures units authorized  by metro. Larger view shows more details including a mini-profile of housing units authorized detail. Create similar views for preferred time periods and different residential unit attributes using the GIS project.  Zoom-in to areas of interest.  Label the geography as desired.  Add your own data.

View created with CV XE GIS. Click graphic for larger view.

The time lag from reference date to access date of these data is one month, contributing to both the freshness of the data and importance of the data as a leading economic indicator. The importance of these data transcends issues concerning housing market conditions alone.  These data are one part of a mix of demographic-economic factors required to understand housing market conditions and the local/regional economy. These data are a part of the process to develop the ProximityOne county and sub-county demographic-economic estimates and projections.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Characteristics of Largest 50 U.S. Metropolitan Areas

.. the total population of the largest 50 U.S. metropolitan areas as of 2014 (latest official estimates) was 174,886,265. These 50 metros account for 58.3% of the population in all 917 metropolitan areas and 54.8% of the total U.S. population. By either measure, more than half of the U.S. population resides in these 50 metros. Use tools and data resources described in this section to view and analyze these metros.

View the list of these metros by population rank in the scroll section provided below. Click on a metro link to view the Metro Situation & Outlook Report for that metro. The report provides extensive details on the geographic-demographic-economic attributes of the metro.

Use the largest_50_metros GIS project described in this section to map and explore characteristics of these metros. Create zoom-in views of metros/regions of interest. Label geography. Add other geography and data. The largest_50_metros GIS project/datasets includes all U.S. metros and has been used to develop the views in this section:
• View 1 .. 50 Largest Metros Ranked on 2014 Total Population
• View 2 .. All Metropolitan & Micropolitan Statistical Areas
• View 3 .. Patterns of Percent Population Change 2010-2014
See details about using the largest_50_metros GIS project below in this section.

50 Largest Metros Ranked on 2014 Total Population
The following graphic shows the 50 largest metros by 2014 population rank (blue metros are the largest 10). Click graphic for larger view, more detail and legend color/data intervals (expand browser window for best view).

– View developed using CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

All Metropolitan & Micropolitan Statistical Areas
The following graphic shows all metropolitan statistical areas (blue) and micropolitan statistical areas (orange). Click graphic for larger view, more detail and legend color/data intervals (expand browser window for best view).

– View developed using CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

Patterns of Percent Population Change 2010-2014
The following graphic shows the percent change in total population from 2010 to 2014 for all metros. Click graphic for larger view, more detail and legend color/data intervals (expand browser window for best view). This map illustrates the relative ease to gain insights into patterns of population change using geospatial data analytics tools.

– View developed using CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

50 Largest Metros Ranked on 2014 Total Population — scroll section
Click link to view Metro Situation & Outlook Report

1	New York
2	Los Angeles
3	Chicago
4	Dallas
5	Houston
6	Philadelphia
7	Washington
8	Miami
9	Atlanta
10	Boston
11	San Francisco
12	Phoenix
13	Riverside-San Bernardino
14	Detroit
15	Seattle
16	Minnesota
17	San Diego
19	Tampa
18	St. Louis
20	Baltimore
21	Denver
22	Charlotte
23	Pittsburgh
24	Portland
25	San Antonio
26	Orlando
27	Sacramento
28	Cincinnati
29	Kansas City
30	Las Vegas
31	Cleveland
32	Columbus
33	Indianapolis
34	San Jose
35	Austin
36	Nashville
37	Virginia Beach
38	Providence
39	Milwaukee
40	Jacksonville
41	Memphis
42	Oklahoma City
43	Louisville
44	Richmond
45	New Orleans
46	Raleigh
47	Hartford
48	Salt Lake City
49	Birmingham
50	Buffalo

Largest 50 Metros GIS Project/Datasets
1. Install the ProximityOne CV XE GIS
… omit this step if CV XE GIS software already installed.
… run the CV XE GIS installer
… take all defaults during installation
2. Download the Largest 50 Metros GIS project fileset
… requires ProximityOne User Group ID (join now)
… unzip Largest 50 Metros GIS project files to local folder c:\largest_metros
3. Open the large_50_metros1.gis project
… after completing the above steps, click File>Open>Dialog
… open the file named c:\largest_metros\largest_50_metros1.gis
4. Done .. the start-up view is similar to the graphic shown at the top of this section.

Weekly Data Analytics Lab Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about using metropolitan area geography and using demographic-economic data.  Learn more about integrating these data with other geography, your data and use of data analytics that apply to your situation.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Metros 2014: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI

… examining Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI metropolitan area dynamics:
• How will the market for single family homes change over the next 5 years? 20 years?
• How does economic prosperity in the Chicago metro compare to others?
• What are the patterns in metro rental income and homeownership/vacancy rates?
• How do patterns manifest themselves in different ways by county/neighborhood?
• How are demographic-economic characteristics trending?

We examine these types of topics in this section. Stakeholders can replicate applications reviewed here for this and other metros using ProximityOne resources.

.. this section now continuously updated … see Chicago Metro Situation & Outlook; see related Illinois Demographic-Economic Characteristics.

Metropolitan areas include approximately 94 percent of the U.S. population — 85 percent in metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) and 9 percent in micropolitan statistical areas (MISAs). Of 3,143 counties in the United States, 1,167 are in the 381 MSAs in the U.S. and 641 counties are in the 536 MISAs (1,335 counties are in non-metro areas).

See this section as the corresponding more detailed ProximityOne Web page.

Focus on Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI MSA
This section is focused on the Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI MSA; Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSA) 16980. It is not intended to be a study of the metro but rather illustrate how relevant decision-making information (DMI) resources can be brought together to examine patterns and change and develop insights. The data, tools and methods can be applied to any metro.

The Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI MSA is shown in the graphic below. The 14-county metropolitan statistical area is shown with bold brown boundary; counties appear with black boundaries and county name labels. The thematic pattern shows a measure of economic prosperity (median household income: MHI) by census tract.

Click graphic for larger view. Map developed using CV XE GIS. Develop variations of this map view using the Mapping Illinois Neighborhood Patterns GIS resources.

Metro-County Geographic-Demographic Structure
The Census 2010 population of the metro was 9,461,105 (3rd largest in the U.S.) compared 9,537,289 (3rd largest in the U.S.) based on the 2013 estimate. See interactive table to examine other metros in a similar manner.

Click here to view a metro by county profile for the Chicago metro. Click the county component links below to view annual county population estimates and components of change.
• Cook, IL (17031)
• DeKalb, IL (17037)
• DuPage, IL (17043)
• Grundy, IL (17063)
• Kane, IL (17089)
• Kendall, IL (17093)
• Lake, IL (17097)
• McHenry, IL (17111)
• Will, IL (17197)
• Jasper, IN (18073)
• Lake, IN (18089)
• Newton, IN (18111)
• Porter, IN (18127)
• Kenosha, WI (55059)

Use this interactive table to view demographic attributes of these counties and rank/compare with other counties.

Population Pyramids & Age-Cohort Patterns
The graphic below shows the Census 2010 Cook County, IL population pyramid. Click graphic to view as HTML section with related Census 2010 age-gender population distribution.

Cook County, IL; Census 2010; Total population

Use ChartGraphics examine population by age-gender-race/origin for any county.

County Population Projections to 2020 and Beyond
The following view shows counties in the metro area. Counties are labeled with name; bar charts show Census 2000, Census 2010 and the ProximityOne projection to 2020. The CV XE GIS identify tool (see pointer) is used to show a mini-profile for one county. Kendall County, IL is projected to change from 115,206 as of Census 2000 to 173,343 in 2050. See more about how USA TODAY used ProximityOne projections to analyze diversity, 1960 to 2060. More about diversity below.

Click graphic for larger view. Map developed using CV XE GIS.

Diversity by Neighborhood in the Chicago Region
Diversity Patterns Neighborhood/Census Tract
Census tracts are colored based on value of the diversity index. See color patterns assigned based on diversity index values as shown in legend at left of the map. Blue tracts are most diverse; red tracts are least diverse. Tracts shown with black cross-hatched pattern are tracts with 50-percent or more Hispanic population. See more aboutneighhborhood diversity in the Chicago area.

Click graphic for larger view. Map developed using CV XE GIS.

Metro Demographic-Economic Characteristics
In 2012, the metro median household income was $59,261, percent high school graduates 86.8%, percent college graduates 34.8% and 14.5% in poverty. Use the following U.S.-state-metro interactive table to view/compare/rank compare this metro with other areas:
• General Demographics — http://proximityone.com/usstcbsa12dp1.htm
• Social Characteristics — http://proximityone.com/usstcbsa12dp2.htm
• Economic Characteristics — http://proximityone.com/usstcbsa12dp3.htm
• Housing Characteristics — http://proximityone.com/usstcbsa12dp4.htm

Metro Cities & Places
Click link to view profile for the metro principal cities:
• Arlington Heights
• Chicago
• Des Plaines
• Elgin
• Evanston
• Hoffman Estates
• Naperville
• Schaumburg
• Skokie
• Gary
View similar profile for any Illinois city — Illinois Community Profiles

Drill-down Analysis
The following view illustrates how a set of block groups in Chicago can be visually selected and analyzed using site analysis tools. The cross-hatched areas are 14 block groups in a study area that were visually selected using the mouse. A mini-profile in the lower right grid shows the 14 area aggregate for selected race origin items. The total population for these 14 block groups is 19,979. Perform this type of operation for any set of block groups for wide-ranging demographic-economic measures.

Click graphic for larger view. Developed using CV XE GIS.

Click the View File button, the selected 14 block group records are shown in the grid below. Optionally save and output these block group records for further analysis.

Click graphic for larger view. Developed using CV XE GIS.

About Metropolitan Areas
By definition, metropolitan areas are comprised of one or more contiguous counties. Metropolitan areas are not singlecities and typically include many cities. Metropolitan areas are comprised of urban and rural areas and often have large expanses of rural territory. A business and demographic-economic synergy exists within each metro; metros often interact with adjacent metros. The demographic-economic make-up of metros vary widely and change often. See more about metros.

Support Using these Resources
Learn more about demographic economic data and related analytical tools. Join us in a Decision-Making Information Web session. There is no fee for these one-hour Web sessions. Each informal session is focused on a specific topic. The open structure also provides for Q&A and discussion of application issues of interest to participants.