Category Archives: Trends

How America’s Cities are Changing

… tools, data and insights into how America’s cities are changing, 2010-to 2017.  Of the nation’s 325.7 million people, an estimated 205.0 million (62.9%) live within an incorporated place as of July 1, 2017. Of approximately 19,500 incorporated places, about 76 percent had fewer than 5,000 people and nearly 50 percent had fewer than 1,000 people. Examine characteristics of individual city population trends and compare cities in states, regions and peer groups using the interactive table in this related section. See three related static tables below showing characteristics the 15 largest cities. Use the U.S. by cities shapefile with your GIS projects. See related GIS & mapping details. See more about the sources and uses of these data in this related section.

Mapping America’s 15 Largest Cities
The following view shows cities with 2017 population of 874,000 or more in blue. Labels show rank among all cities based on 2017 population. These 15 cities have a total 2017 population of 30.6 million of the 205 million total population in all U.S. cities (15%). Click graphic for larger view; expand window to full screen.
… click links in Table 3 below to view maps of these cities.

– View developed using the CV XE GIS software.

Patterns of City Percent Change in Population 2010-17
— Cities in the Los Angeles Area
The following view shows thematic patterns of population percent change, 2010-17 for cities in the Los Angeles, CA area. See color/interval assignment in legend. Click graphic for larger view; expand window to full screen. Larger view shows city names and 2017 population.

– View developed using the CV XE GIS software.
– Flexibly create your own views using the cities GIS project.
– Examine city population trends, patterns; zoom to desired areas; label as needed; integrate other data.

Tables Showing the Largest 15 cities
Data/characteristics shown in the following static tables may also be viewed in the interactive table above with more flexibility and details.

Table 1. 15 Cities With the Largest Numeric Increase, 7/1/16-7/1/17
.. cities with populations of 50,000 or more in 2016

Table 2. 15 Fastest-Growing Large Cities, 7/1/16-7/1/17
.. having populations of 50,000 or more in 2016

Table 3. 15 Most Populous Cities as of July 1, 2017
These 15 cities have a total 2017 population of 30.6 million of the 205 million total population in all U.S. cities (15%).

Mapping & GeoSpatial Analysis of the Largest 15 Cities
Click link in the list below to view map of city shown in the above table.
1 New York
2 Los Angeles
3 Chicago
4 Houston
5 Phoenix
6 Philadelphia
7 San Antonio
8 San Diego
9 Dallas
10 San Jose
11 Austin
12 Jacksonville
13 San Francisco
14 Columbus
15 Fort Worth

City/Place Demographics in Context & Related Data
• State & Regional Demographic-Economic Characteristics & Patterns
.. individual state sections with analytical tools & data access to block level
• Metropolitan Area Situation & Outlook
.. continuously updated characteristics, patterns & trends for each/all metros
• ACS 2016 5-year estimates
.. related City/Place Demographic-Economic Interactive Tables
.. General Demographics … Social … Economic … Housing Characteristics
• Corresponding U.S. by County 2010-2017 Estimates

Data Analytics Web Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Web Session, every Tuesday, where we review access to and use of data, tools and methods relating to GeoStatistical Data Analytics Learning. We review current topical issues and data — and how you can access/use tools/data to meet your needs/interests.

About the Author
Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Metropolitan Area New Residential Construction in 2017

.. understanding the housing situation; examining housing supply and demand market conditions; assessing trends for metropolitan areas … and how metros of interest are changing .. tools and data to examine patterns and change.

During 2017, cities and counties in permit issuing places authorized the construction of 1,281,977 new privately owned housing units with a total valuation of $258.5 billion. This was 1.4 percent above the annual estimate of 1,264,051 housing units and is a 6.2 percent increase from the 2016 total of 1,206,642.

Patterns of New Residential Construction by Metropolitan Area
The following graphic shows the 20 largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) based on the number of new residential housing units authorized in 2017. Click graphic for larger view showing MSAs labeled with rank and name.

View created with CV XE GIS. Click graphic for larger view.

Residential Construction Data Analytics — Using Tools & Data
Visit the related Web section to access interactive table and GIS/GeoSpatial analytical tools and data.

Data Analytics Web Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Web Session, every Tuesday, where we review access to and use of data, tools and methods relating to GeoStatistical Data Analytics Learning. We review current topical issues and data — and how you can access/use tools/data to meet your needs/interests.

About the Author
Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.
 

Insights into County/Metro Business Establishment Patterns

.. new data, released this past week, enable us to better assess county and metro business establishment patterns .. these data help businesses understand how sales of their products and services align with markets .. what counties might be underserved? .. where should marketing and sales operations be ramped up or reduced in scope/reallocated? .. what do these tell us us about organization of market territories? how are these characteristics trending by county? Use the this interactive table to examine business establishments characteristics by county and metro by type of business. See more detail in the related Web section about topics covered in this post. 

• U.S. establishments rose 1.2% from 7,663,938 in 2015 to 7,759,807 in 2016.
• First quarter employment was up 2.1% from 124,085,947 to 126,752,238
• Annual payroll was up 2.9% from $6.3 trillion in 2015 to $6.4 trillion in 2016.

Based on the 2016 data (new April 2018), there are 7.3 million establishments in Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). In these MSAs ..
• 5.3 million establishments have fewer than 10 employees.
• 6,522 of these establishments have 1,000 or more employees.
• 374 of these establishments have 5,000 or more employees.

MSAs by Number of Establishments with 1,000 or more Employees
The following graphic shows Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) by number of establishments with 1,000 or more employees. Click graphic for larger view view showing metros labeled with number of these establishments. Expand brower to full window for best quality view.
.. View developed with CV XE GIS software and related GIS project.

Business Establishment Characteristics Updated in Metro Reports
Examine 2014, 2015, 2016 mini trend profiles for establishments by 2-digit sector in Metro Situation & Outlook Reports Choose any MSA by clicking column 3 in this table .. then view section 6.3. Examples:
New York .. Los Angeles .. Miami .. Chicago .. Dallas .. Houston .. Denver .. Seattle

Gaining Insights
Gain insights into these types of patterns by county by detailed type of business (NAICS). Use the interactive table below to examine business establishment characteristics for counties and metros of interest. Data reviewed in this section are based on the Census-sourced County Business Patterns released in April 2018. We have integrated current population estimates with the establishment data in the interactive table.

Tools You Can Use
• create maps and geospatially analyze business establishments at 6-digit industry detail with ready-to-use GIS project/tools .. see related section for details.
• Use the APIGateway tools to build custom business establishment datasets.
• Use the interactive table to query/view sort business establishment characteristics by county and metro.

Data Analytics Web Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Web Session, every Tuesday, where we review access to and use of data, tools and methods relating to GeoStatistical Data Analytics Learning. We review current topical issues and data — and how you can access/use tools/data to meet your needs/interests.

About the Author
Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

Housing Price Index Updates & Trends

.. this past week we have updated Housing Price Index data and tools to examine patterns and trends for the U.S., states, metros and counties .. the Housing Price Index (HPI) is one of many measures useful to gain insights into the housing market. The HPI provides information on how housing value appreciation is changing for areas of interest. Use the interactive table to view, compare, sort metros/CBSAs based on annual HPI 2010-2017 and housing value appreciation during the period. These annual data, with a 2000 base index value of 100, provide insights into longer term patterns.  The HPI is alos updated quarterly for U.S./state/metro areas quarterly for analyses requiring more recent data.  These data are new as of February 2018.

Visual Analysis of Housing Price Appreciation
The following graphic shows housing value appreciation as of 2017 based on the HPI with 2000 base of 100 by county in the Charlotte, NC-SC metro area. See more about by HPI by county for the Charlotte metro.

– view developed using CV XE GIS and related GIS project.
– Click graphic for larger view and details.

See similar HPI 2017 patterns view for the Houston, TX metro.

Housing Price Appreciation 2010-2017 — Largest 10 Metros
This table, derived from the  interactive table, shows the largest 10 metros based on total population. the HPI 2010, HPI 2017, housing price appreciation 2010-2017 and total population are presented in the table. Click the CBSA code link to view HPI by county component for the metro and an extended series.

 Metro CBSA HPI2010 HPI2017 HPA1017 Pop2016
 New York   35620 159.53 172.76 8.29 20,153,634
 Los Angeles   31080 169.83 242.78 42.95 13,310,447
 Chicago   16980 117.48 124.58 6.04 9,512,999
 Dallas   19100 120.89 175.35 45.05 7,233,323
 Houston   26420 134.02 183.52 36.93 6,772,470
 Washington   47900 166.82 198.74 19.13 6,131,977
 PhiladelphiaA   37980 157.26 162.91 3.59 6,070,500
 Miami   33100 140.43 213.91 52.33 6,066,387
 Atlanta   12060 103.95 129.24 24.33 5,789,700
 Boston   14460 134.33 165.27 23.03 4,794,447

– Metro names abbreviated; use table to view full name and code.

Using the HPI Annual 2010-2017 Interactive Table
The following graphic illustrates use of the HPI Annual 2010-2017 interactive table. Click graphic for larger view. This view shows metros in the 250,000-300,000 population peer group. Set your own criteria using tools below the table. There are 23 metros in this group. The table has been sorted on housing price appreciation (HPA) from 2010-2017 (second column from right). It shows that the Merced, CA metro had the highest HPA — 82.13% di=uring this period.

Use the interactive table and examine areas of interest.

Data Analytics Web Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

 

 

Examining Health Care Infrastructure by ZIP Code

.. small area data providing information on sub-county and sub-city/place geographies are challenging to locate and use — particularly in context of demand for healthcare services and demographic attributes of associated neighborhoods. Develop insights into the healthcare infrastructure by ZIP code using the two related resources reviewed here — 1) individual ZIP code demographic-economic profiles and 2) ZIP code demographic-economic interactive tables. One way to examine the healthcare infrastructure for an area is to view/analyze the number and attributes (employment, earnings) of healthcare establishments by types of business/industry (such as physicians office or hospitals). Data and tools reviewed here provide insights into characteristics and patterns of national scope ZIP code areas — examine your ZIP codes of interest.

Option 1 — ZIP Code Profiles
.. examining the healthcare infrastructure in context of the related demographic-economic situation … the following graphic shows ZIP code 10514 (Westchester County, NY) with a bold red boundary.  Census tracts are shown with black boundaries with tract codes as white labels. See more about ZIP-Tract relationships. Cities/places are shown with blue cross-hatch pattern.

– view created with CV XE GIS software and related GIS project.

The above map graphic is part of a ZIP Code 10514 profile (click link to view complete profile). Section 3.1. of the profile shows the number healthcare establishments in the ZIP Code as partly shown in this graphic:

The portion of the table shows the NAICS/type of business code at left, followed by type of business description and the number of establishments at the right.

Examine other characteristics of this ZIP code profile and in context of others via this related Web section. These profiles update in May 2018.

Option 2 — ZIP Code Health Care Sector comparative analysis
.. examining the healthcare infrastructure for a set of ZIP codes in a state, metro, county or peer group … use the interactive table located here to view/rank/compare health care business establishments by type of business for a selected set of ZIP codes. This table shows a query placed on the table to show the total number of offices of physicians for ZIP codes in the vicinity of ZIP 10514. It shows that there are 14 offices of physicians establishments and 13 have 1-4 employees.

About These and Related ZIP Code Data
Data used to develop the tools/resources described above are based in part on the Census Bureau County Business Patterns program. These establishment data update annually.

ZIP code demographic-economic interactive tables
Use the following tables to examine a wide range of ZIP code demographic-economic conditions:
  • General Demographics
  • Social Characteristics
  • Economic Chacteristics
  • Housing CHaracteristics

Data Analytics Web Sessions
Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

2018 U.S. & World Population

.. Welcome to 2018 .. how the U.S. and world are changing …

The Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population is 326,971,407 as of January 1, 2018. This represents an increase of 2,314,238, or 0.71 percent, from New Year’s Day 2017. Since Census Day (April 1) 2010, the population has grown by 18,225,587, or 5.90 percent.

In January 2018, the U.S. is expected to experience one birth every 8 seconds and one death every 10 seconds. Meanwhile, net international migration is expected to add one person to the U.S. population every 29 seconds. The combination of births, deaths and net international migration will increase the U.S. population by one person every 18 seconds.

The world population on January 1, 2018 is estimated to be 7,444,443,881. The world has experienced a population increase of 78,521,283, or 1.07 percent, from New Year’s Day 2017. During January 2018, 4.3 births and 1.8 deaths are expected worldwide every second.

Patterns of Population Change by State, 2010-2017
The following graphic shows patterns of percent population change from 2010 to 2017. Use the associated GIS project to examine different years or subject matter items. Click graphic for larger view; expand browser window for best quality view.

.. view developed with ProximityOne CV XE GIS and related GIS project.

How the U.S. Population is Changing
The following graphic shows how the population of the U.S. has changed from 2010 to 2017 and how the population might change 2018 through 2020. Click graphic for large view. The population is as of July 1 for each year. The components of change (birth, deaths and migration) are for the period July 1 through June 30 for that year.

Population for each year is computed by the population identity equation:
  P[t]=P[t-1] + B[t,t-1] -D[t,t-1] + M[t,t-1]
Viewing the larger image, see how each of the components of change are impacting the total population and population change.
… see more detail about these data for the U.S. and by state at http://proximityone.com/states2017.htm.

More About Population Trends, Patterns and Characteristics
See more about how population dynamics; use the interactive tables in these sections:
  • School Districts — http://proximityone.com/sdtrends.htm
  • Cities — http://proximityone.com/places2016.htm
  • Counties — http://proximityone.com/countytrends2016.htm
  • Metros — http://proximityone.com/metrotrends2016.htm
  • States — http://proximityone.com/states2017.htm

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on LinkedIn.

School District Demographic Trends: 2010-2016

.. while enrollment in many school districts is growing, for many it is declining — these include some of the largest districts. Declining enrollment in school districts can result in school closings that destabilize neighborhoods, cause layoffs of essential staff and concerns that the students who remain are some of the neediest and most difficult to educate. See related narrative.

Based on total population, the largest 10 school districts in 2016 (see table below), all experienced an increase in population over the period 2010-2016. Five of these districts had a decrease in school age population (ages 5-17 years). Five of these districts had a decrease in the number of related children in poverty in families ages 5-17 years.

See the related Web section that provides tools to analyze annual demographic data for each U.S. school district for the period 2010 through 2016. This post summarizes selected details. These data include Census Bureau official 2016 estimates available for all districts. Developed for use as inputs for the ESEA Title I allocation formula, the data have broader uses of interest to school district demographics stakeholders. The 2016 estimates were released in November 2016; 2017 estimates become available in late 2018. ProximityOne uses these data in combination with other data to develop school district current estimates and annual projections through 2022 with related drill-down demographic-economic subject matter. Use the interactive table in the Web section to view, rank, compare demographic characteristics of districts of interest.

Largest 10 School Districts based on 2016 Population Age 5-17

Patterns of 2016 School Age Population in Poverty by School District
The graphic below shows school districts with total 2016 population of 1,000 or more by poverty incidence. Markers show the population ages 5-17 in families in poverty as a percent of population ages 5-17. Salmon markers: 40-50%. Red markers: 50% or more.

– view developed with CVGIS software and related GIS project.

School District Demographic Trends Interactive Table
Use the interactive table to view, rank, compare demographic characteristics of districts of interest.

More About K-12 Education & Children’s Demographics
See the related section on School District Demographic Trends 2010-2016:
http://proximityone.com/sdtrends.htm.

Join me in a Data Analytics Lab session to discuss more details about accessing and using wide-ranging demographic-economic data and data analytics. Learn more about using these data for areas and applications of interest.

About the Author
— Warren Glimpse is former senior Census Bureau statistician responsible for innovative data access and use operations. He is also the former associate director of the U.S. Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards for data access and use. He has more than 20 years of experience in the private sector developing data resources and tools for integration and analysis of geographic, demographic, economic and business data. Contact Warren. Join Warren on L